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Jan 31, 2026
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Bitcoin rebounds on Japan rate hike as Arthur Hayes sees dollar at 200 yen
Bitcoin rebounds following Japan's interest-rate hike, aiming for $88,000. Despite initial concerns, market reactions are bullish, with Arthur Hayes predicting further gains. Analysts suggest a disconnect between market expectations and economic realities, while the U.S. stock market shows positive trends. Caution remains as Bitcoin navigates volatility.
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Bitcoin has made an impressive rebound following the Bank of Japan's recent interest-rate hike, which now stands at a 30-year high. Despite the initial concerns surrounding potential tightening of monetary policy, reactions in the market have been unexpectedly bullish. On Friday, Bitcoin aimed for a price target of $88,000 as it joined U.S. stock futures in a notable upward trend.
The interest-rate hike, which pushed rates to around 0.75%, marked a significant shift away from Japan's long-standing period of 'cheap' money. This move stands out in a global environment where many central banks are easing their policies. While one might think that such a hike would serve as a headwind for cryptocurrencies and other risk assets, the market's response was quite the opposite.
Arthur Hayes, the former CEO of the crypto exchange BitMEX, expressed a rather optimistic outlook on social media, stating, "Don’t fight the BOJ: -ve real rates is the explicit policy. $JPY to 200, and $BTC to a milly." His comments reflect a broader sentiment that the rate hike could ultimately benefit asset holders, especially in the crypto space.
Furthermore, Temple 8 Research has indicated that there seems to be a disconnect between market expectations and the economic realities in Japan. They predict that rates are unlikely to rise again before 2027 in order to safeguard the yen and manage the financial implications of Japan's $140 billion stimulus package. The research highlights a critical concern: increasing interest rates could lead to skyrocketing interest payments on the new debt, making it challenging for the government to balance its fiscal policies.
As Bitcoin continues to navigate its way through the market, it has also drawn positive comparisons to U.S. stock futures, which were up about 1.5% at the time of this writing. The S&P 500 is also looking to rebound after a period of flat performance. Mosaic Asset Company noted that despite a somewhat weak showing from the S&P 500 recently, the historical trends suggest that the latter half of December tends to be more positive, which could bode well for Bitcoin and other assets.
Despite the optimistic outlook, Bitcoin has experienced some volatility. The cryptocurrency hit a low of $84,390 amid fluctuations following the unexpected U.S. inflation data. Traders are approaching the market with caution, anticipating further support retests as Bitcoin aims to solidify its current position.
On-chain analytics platform Checkonchain pointed out that while Bitcoin appears to be 'hammering out a bottom', the process is ongoing. They highlighted $81,000 as a critical cost basis for U.S. spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), indicating this price level is pivotal for market participants. While some investors are feeling optimistic, others believe that the market is still waiting for a 'true capitulation event' to occur.
Overall, the backdrop of rising interest rates in Japan has created a complex yet intriguing environment for Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Investors remain hopeful, looking for potential rallies as we approach the end of the year. The evolving dynamics between monetary policy and investor sentiment will undoubtedly shape the future landscape of the crypto market. As always, it's essential for investors to conduct their own research and remain informed about the ongoing developments in this fast-paced environment.
Cryptocurrency News
Bitcoin rebounds on Japan rate hike as Arthur Hayes sees dollar at 200 yen
Dec 22, 2025
Bitcoin rebounds following Japan's interest-rate hike, aiming for $88,000. Despite initial concerns, market reactions are bullish, with Arthur Hayes predicting further gains. Analysts suggest a disconnect between market expectations and economic realities, while the U.S. stock market shows positive trends. Caution remains as Bitcoin navigates volatility.
1

Bitcoin has made an impressive rebound following the Bank of Japan's recent interest-rate hike, which now stands at a 30-year high. Despite the initial concerns surrounding potential tightening of monetary policy, reactions in the market have been unexpectedly bullish. On Friday, Bitcoin aimed for a price target of $88,000 as it joined U.S. stock futures in a notable upward trend.
The interest-rate hike, which pushed rates to around 0.75%, marked a significant shift away from Japan's long-standing period of 'cheap' money. This move stands out in a global environment where many central banks are easing their policies. While one might think that such a hike would serve as a headwind for cryptocurrencies and other risk assets, the market's response was quite the opposite.
Arthur Hayes, the former CEO of the crypto exchange BitMEX, expressed a rather optimistic outlook on social media, stating, "Don’t fight the BOJ: -ve real rates is the explicit policy. $JPY to 200, and $BTC to a milly." His comments reflect a broader sentiment that the rate hike could ultimately benefit asset holders, especially in the crypto space.
Furthermore, Temple 8 Research has indicated that there seems to be a disconnect between market expectations and the economic realities in Japan. They predict that rates are unlikely to rise again before 2027 in order to safeguard the yen and manage the financial implications of Japan's $140 billion stimulus package. The research highlights a critical concern: increasing interest rates could lead to skyrocketing interest payments on the new debt, making it challenging for the government to balance its fiscal policies.
As Bitcoin continues to navigate its way through the market, it has also drawn positive comparisons to U.S. stock futures, which were up about 1.5% at the time of this writing. The S&P 500 is also looking to rebound after a period of flat performance. Mosaic Asset Company noted that despite a somewhat weak showing from the S&P 500 recently, the historical trends suggest that the latter half of December tends to be more positive, which could bode well for Bitcoin and other assets.
Despite the optimistic outlook, Bitcoin has experienced some volatility. The cryptocurrency hit a low of $84,390 amid fluctuations following the unexpected U.S. inflation data. Traders are approaching the market with caution, anticipating further support retests as Bitcoin aims to solidify its current position.
On-chain analytics platform Checkonchain pointed out that while Bitcoin appears to be 'hammering out a bottom', the process is ongoing. They highlighted $81,000 as a critical cost basis for U.S. spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), indicating this price level is pivotal for market participants. While some investors are feeling optimistic, others believe that the market is still waiting for a 'true capitulation event' to occur.
Overall, the backdrop of rising interest rates in Japan has created a complex yet intriguing environment for Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Investors remain hopeful, looking for potential rallies as we approach the end of the year. The evolving dynamics between monetary policy and investor sentiment will undoubtedly shape the future landscape of the crypto market. As always, it's essential for investors to conduct their own research and remain informed about the ongoing developments in this fast-paced environment.
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