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Market Analysis

2 min

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Feb 9, 2026

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Bitcoin beats FTX, COVID-19 crash with record dive below 200-day trend line

Bitcoin has plunged below its 200-day moving average, marking a historic low. Analysts believe this could signal a potential rebound as the cryptocurrency experiences extreme market conditions. Despite the current bear market, many investors are eyeing this as a buying opportunity.

15

Altcoinstory in your social feed

Bitcoin is facing unprecedented pressure, recently plummeting below its 200-day simple moving average (SMA), marking a historic dive that analysts are closely scrutinizing. This event has prompted discussions about Bitcoin's future price movements, with many expecting a phenomenon known as 'mean reversion.' The cryptocurrency has never traded so far beneath its 200-day SMA, raising eyebrows and concerns in the investment community.

The current bear market sentiment is palpable, as Bitcoin's price action has set a new record for bearish momentum. Recent analysis suggests that this dramatic dip below $60,000 is anything but ordinary. According to Martin Leinweber, director of digital asset research at MarketVector Indexes, Bitcoin is now trading at -2.88 standard deviations from its 200-day SMA—something that has never occurred in the last decade. This places its recent performance in the 99th percentile of adverse outcomes.

In a week where BTC/USD dropped over 22%, it has surpassed historical declines, including those witnessed during the COVID-19 crash and the collapse of the FTX exchange. While some traders view this as a dire situation, others see it as a potential buying opportunity. Leinweber suggests that although we're not at generational lows yet, the current market dynamics indicate statistical extremes across various indicators.

Despite the turmoil, the long-term investment thesis for Bitcoin remains intact, according to analysts. Leinweber emphasizes that the current bear market is driven more by macroeconomic factors than by any failure of the technology itself. He believes that a significant rebound is possible, but patience will be crucial for those looking to capitalize on the current volatility.

The Crypto Fear & Greed Index has plummeted to a low score of 9 out of 100, highlighting the extreme sentiment among investors. This level of fear has historically indicated potential buying opportunities, as large-volume investors appear to be taking advantage of the market dip. Traders are keeping a close eye on hedge funds and major exchanges like Binance, which have reportedly been buying into the downturn.

Daan Crypto Trades, a well-known trader, has remarked on the recent wave of liquidations, pointing out that many large leveraged positions have been wiped out. He suggests that for those with cash reserves, this could be an opportune time to accumulate Bitcoin, especially as prices have recently dropped by 38% in just a few weeks.

In summary, Bitcoin's recent dive below the 200-day SMA marks a significant moment in its market history. While the immediate outlook appears grim, the potential for mean reversion and a future rebound could attract investors looking for long-term gains. As always, caution and thorough research are advised for anyone navigating this volatile landscape.

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Market Analysis

Bitcoin beats FTX, COVID-19 crash with record dive below 200-day trend line

Feb 6, 2026

Bitcoin has plunged below its 200-day moving average, marking a historic low. Analysts believe this could signal a potential rebound as the cryptocurrency experiences extreme market conditions. Despite the current bear market, many investors are eyeing this as a buying opportunity.

15

Altcoinstory in your social feed

Bitcoin is facing unprecedented pressure, recently plummeting below its 200-day simple moving average (SMA), marking a historic dive that analysts are closely scrutinizing. This event has prompted discussions about Bitcoin's future price movements, with many expecting a phenomenon known as 'mean reversion.' The cryptocurrency has never traded so far beneath its 200-day SMA, raising eyebrows and concerns in the investment community.

The current bear market sentiment is palpable, as Bitcoin's price action has set a new record for bearish momentum. Recent analysis suggests that this dramatic dip below $60,000 is anything but ordinary. According to Martin Leinweber, director of digital asset research at MarketVector Indexes, Bitcoin is now trading at -2.88 standard deviations from its 200-day SMA—something that has never occurred in the last decade. This places its recent performance in the 99th percentile of adverse outcomes.

In a week where BTC/USD dropped over 22%, it has surpassed historical declines, including those witnessed during the COVID-19 crash and the collapse of the FTX exchange. While some traders view this as a dire situation, others see it as a potential buying opportunity. Leinweber suggests that although we're not at generational lows yet, the current market dynamics indicate statistical extremes across various indicators.

Despite the turmoil, the long-term investment thesis for Bitcoin remains intact, according to analysts. Leinweber emphasizes that the current bear market is driven more by macroeconomic factors than by any failure of the technology itself. He believes that a significant rebound is possible, but patience will be crucial for those looking to capitalize on the current volatility.

The Crypto Fear & Greed Index has plummeted to a low score of 9 out of 100, highlighting the extreme sentiment among investors. This level of fear has historically indicated potential buying opportunities, as large-volume investors appear to be taking advantage of the market dip. Traders are keeping a close eye on hedge funds and major exchanges like Binance, which have reportedly been buying into the downturn.

Daan Crypto Trades, a well-known trader, has remarked on the recent wave of liquidations, pointing out that many large leveraged positions have been wiped out. He suggests that for those with cash reserves, this could be an opportune time to accumulate Bitcoin, especially as prices have recently dropped by 38% in just a few weeks.

In summary, Bitcoin's recent dive below the 200-day SMA marks a significant moment in its market history. While the immediate outlook appears grim, the potential for mean reversion and a future rebound could attract investors looking for long-term gains. As always, caution and thorough research are advised for anyone navigating this volatile landscape.

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